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UFC
314 is set for Saturday night in Miami, and the card features a stacked list of superstars, contenders, and exciting prospects in the promotion. The card’s centerpiece is an incredible matchup between former champion Alexander Vokanovski and top contender Diego Lopes. These two will fight for the
vacant UFC featherweight championship
on Saturday night.
The Tale Of The Tape
How This Championship Bout Measures Up
Volkanovski |
Lopes |
|
Record |
26-4 |
26-6 |
Height |
5’6″ |
5’11” |
Reach |
71″ |
72″ |
Stance |
Orthodox |
Orthodox |
Age |
36 |
30 |
The physical advantages seem to be firmly in Lopes’ favor. He is the younger fighter and has been more active in the last 365 days. On top of that, Lopes is taller and has a slight advantage in reach. With that being said, Volkanovski hasn’t let his lack of size hold him back at all at 145lbs.
Going into this title fight, the most glaring questions are all about Volkanovski and his age. Is he on the downslope of his career? Or did he just lose to arguably the two best fighters in the world right now? There is no doubt that all those questions will be answered on Saturday night when Volkanovski meets an aggressive Lopes in the octagon.
Alexander Volkanovski
What Does “The Great” Need To Do To Regain The Throne?
- He needs to somehow have the same confidence in the chaos that he did before his last two losses.
- It will depend on how he moves in the octagon at age 36, and how his durability holds up.
- He needs to trust the fighting system he has learned over the years, mixing up attacks and winning every exchange possible, bringing the fight into the later rounds.
Many UFC fans are probably feeling nervous heading into this weekend and getting ready for UFC 314. Volkanovski is arguably the best featherweight champion to ever step foot in the octagon, and his likable personality has made him one of the most beloved fighters on the UFC roster.
Does he have what it takes to become world champion again? There are a lot of questions around his current form going into UFC 314. He has been out of the octagon for about 14 months, coming off of back-to-back KO losses to world champions. Yes, he went against literally two of the best fighters in the world in Islam Makhachev and Ilia Topuria, but father time is undefeated in MMA, and he understands all of this.
To win this weekend, Volkanovski needs to have most, if not all, of the athleticism and durability he had before his two KO losses. At 36 years old, we cannot know if that’s the case until those octagon doors close. Taking a year away from competing at this age, especially in the lower weight classes, has never been a positive in this sport’s history.
Confidence is a massive factor going into this weekend. Think about the difference between Volkanovski and Lopes:
one is coming off two KO losses
and probably has more issues with his body than ever before getting through a training camp, and the other is in his prime with all the momentum in the world. This stuff matters a lot in the cage.
Volkanovski needs to have all his confidence. Remaining calm in the chaos that Lopes brings to the octagon is key. He needs to be able to implement the game plan that his team has set for this title bout, even if he gets caught in the inevitable big shot and flurry of punches coming from Lopes in the early rounds.
The biggest advantage Volkanovski has is his championship experience. He has been in the octagon with some of the best fighters to ever do it, and has competed against the best contenders in the world in every fight since 2018. Lopes seems to have been in just one 5-round fight, a fight he lost in 2021 in another promotion. Taking this fight into the later rounds and being prepared for it is a big advantage for Volkanovski and maybe the key to getting his hand raised on Saturday night.

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UFC 314 Full Card: Date, Start Time, Where To Watch
UFC 314 will be headlined by Alexander Volkanovski and Diego Lopes as the two will compete for the UFC Featherweight Championship.
Diego Lopes
Will There Be A New World Champion?
- He needs to be who he has been on his journey to this title shot. Keep the same confidence and aggression at all times.
- Will the moment be too big? Is he prepared for 25 minutes against one of the best champions in featherweight history?
- The big advantage will be in the grappling exchanges.
There is no doubt that Diego Lopes is one of the most exciting fighters on the UFC roster right now. He has been exciting ever since making his UFC debut on short notice and almost taking down a top contender like Movsar Evloev. Lopes needs to keep that same fighting style this weekend because that is what got him into this position, fighting for a title.
Lopes has all the physical advantages and all the momentum. He is coming off an impressive win over Brian Ortega last September, a fight that showed his constant improvement and maturity in the cage. He needs to keep that confidence and mindset that allows him to fight anybody, anywhere, at any time. He won’t be able to beat Volkanovski if the fight goes the way the Aussie wants.
To get his hand raised on Saturday night, Lopes needs to take control of the fight and set the pacing. With that being said, his usual pacing will be too much to last over 25 minutes, probably, and fans might be able to notice a change in game plan in the early rounds.
Not many people are talking about this, but the biggest opportunity for Lopes to get the job done on Saturday is in the grappling exchanges. Volkanovski, if he has any confidence issues, will be focused on striking defense and not running onto any big shots. This will open up things on the ground for Lopes.
Volkanovski has proven he is very solid defensively on the ground, but Lopes is unlike any grappler that the former champion has seen. Lopes won’t shoot any fundamental single or double-leg takedowns, he will take chances and look for opportunities to jump on Volkanovski’s back in a scramble or jump a guillotine if Volkanovski tries to mix in a level change. Lopes needs this fight to be very wild and exciting to have the best chance to win.
The Official Betting Prediction
Who Will Get Their Hand Raised On Saturday Night?
DraftKings Odds |
|
Volkanovski ML |
-125 |
Lopes ML |
+105 |
Currently, the former world champion Alexander Volkanovski is a -125 betting favorite according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Lopes is coming in at +105, which is plenty of value for a fighter of his caliber going up against a 36-year-old Volkanovski coming off two losses.
Even though this is very difficult to say, Father Time is undefeated in MMA, and Volkanovski has a better chance of not looking like his former self than he does looking like the best featherweight in the world. The smart bet to make is to take Diego Lopes to get his hand raised at +105.
Lopes is a very dangerous fighter with legit power in his hands, aggressive submission skills, and an overall very good understanding of Brazilian Jiu Jitsu on the ground. He also continues to mature every time he steps foot in the octagon.
It wouldn’t be a bad idea to hedge bets and take Volkanovski to win a decision, and Lopes won by submission at +550. There are a lot of options to take, and there is never any way of predicting what will happen in that octagon when two men at this level fight.
The official prediction is that Lopes will overpower Volkanovski in the first three rounds and take advantage of his defensive struggles up against the fence. There will be openings for Lopes to flurry while Volkanovski is squared up against the fence, as well as making the former champion eat heavy shots in the clinch, and even taking his back and choking him out. Lopes has all the momentum and confidence to go out there and get the job done against an older and less dominant Volkanovski.

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